Betting NFL Picks After the Game Has Started
Betting your NFL picks after the game has started is a betting strategy that can earn high profits without high risk. How to find a middle is a difficult bet and not readily available except when done through online live betting. Casino sportsbooks post an option called in-play or in-running which is the same as live betting. However, the best live betting format is the online off-shore betting markets where you can bet after the game has started.
A novice bettor can learn what to look for but it requires intermediate-level sports betting knowledge and access to updated scoring data. Average bettors can uncover a middle if they know a little math to support the profit or loss ratio associated with betting the middle. The fast paced odds are changing but you can see which direction a game is moving. When to bet on your NFL pick after the game has started is great value sometimes or wait until time is right.
Middling can be a great way to earn major profits with little risk but it is not common. Would you risk a small loss of $10 on a $100 bet. Anybody would risk $10 to win $200. That is the profit loss ratio with a $100 bet on both sides in the same game. If the final score falls in the middle, you win both ways. However, if one side lands on a push to tie at one end, you would still win $100.
Super Bowl X111 — Black Sunday
You do not need a 2 or 3 point swing for middling to work. A famous example of the middle paying off huge was Super Bowl XIII, known in bookmaking circles as Black Sunday. In that title game, Pittsburgh faced Dallas and the Steelers opened up as – 3.5-point favorites. Later in the week, the line shifted to -4.5 in favor of the Steelers. Anyone looking to middle bet Pittsburgh at -3.5 and Dallas at +4.5 and needed a four-point Steelers victory to win both bets.
The final score was Pittsburgh 35, Dallas 31. Anyone lucky enough to spot the middle in that famous game pocketed some serious cash. Most sportsbooks suffered one of the worst days in their history as bettors on both sides were winners. The books prediction was the correct point spread, but it was too good.
A little gap gap between the opening line and closing line usually ranges from one-half point up to 2 points. Finding and betting a middle is a very hard exact number to land on in any sport. It is not a worthwhile betting strategy unless you are familiar and use the live online betting options.
Live betting is the latest wagering option available at many sportsbooks. Those books that do not have live betting simply do not have the resources or technology capable of handling the constant updating of numbers. Better system software is required to keep up with the fast pace of the different sporting events covered.
Online live betting is exactly what it sounds like and continues from the start of the event until the end. Bettors are offered a number of different and exciting ways to get action from sides to totals to props. Betting after the game has started can provide betting options that were not available before game time.
Different In-Game Wagering Opportunities
Some call live betting ‘in-play’ because you are actively wagering on an event while playing. In football, you cannot bet on a game after kickoff until halftime unless the sportsbook offers live NFL betting, which is very limited.
One example of an ‘in-play’ wagering opportunity involves the favorite at -10 getting down early in the first quarter. The live bet would then post a new line on the favorite at -4. A favorite could even turn into an underdog in live betting depending on the opening line.
Other ‘in-play’ opportunities include totals that are adjusted within the game depending on the amount of scoring. If there is no scoring in the first quarter, a total that closed at 43 might be offered later ‘in-play’ at 35 because a lower score is now expected. An under 43 bet when the game started can become a middle of 8 points if you live bet at over 35 points.
Any total final score between 35 and 43 is a winner on both bets. Any score outside the middle numbers is a small loss of $10 when laying -110 on both bets. Props are also occasionally made available ‘in-play’ at some books, where you can wager on whether a drive in a football game will lead to a touchdown, field goal, punt or turnover.
Predicting Momentum Changes During the Game
The bottom line with live betting is being able to predict momentum swings within a game or event before they happen. Timing is everything, and getting the right price at the right time will determine the best hedge for profits.
Just remember that many oddsmakers use computer algorithms working for them when they set the live betting lines. No program is perfect and can accurately project results when the human aspect is not part of the software program. By watching the action closely, you will find when to hedge your NFL picks or reduce your risk.
Like any wagering options, there will always be ways to effectively break down the numbers from a handicapping perspective and gain an advantage over the sportsbook. Live betting is no different and can be more profitable within your your game prediction. Oddsmakers can only do so much to set live betting lines and cannot follow every play of every game in order to make the perfect number.
However, it is fairly common for the better team to get behind early and still come back to win without covering the spread. The moneyline bet is a better live betting option with no point spread but large shifting money odds from minus to plus money depending on pace and scoring. Turnovers and big plays have a big immediate effect on odds. You can lock in your NFL picks with live betting after the game has started or wait when you find your number.
You may become a live betting pro and create your own strategies based on what you learn. However, the live betting opportunities are more pronounced with off-shore online betting accounts.
The books are more interested in standard bets and half-time wagers. Why would they give the bettor an edge with live betting like the online accounts. They promote their “in-play” betting but is limited. The best way to bet live betting is having an online off-shore account. Off-shore books give you plenty of options for live betting during the games. It is easier to decide your play and click on your computer to bet. When you see the odds change in your favor you can lock in profits or find your best hedge.
From Favorite to Underdog and back
You will find a moneyline favorite of -150 become an underdog of +130 if the dog scores first with a touchdown or 3 runs scored in the first inning. Live betting works with most sports and is a moving target. You will hit the target when you find a reversal of money odds in the same game.
If you can get a plus ML on two teams playing each other, you cannot lose!
Based on a $100 bet, you can either make $30, $40 or more on the winning team. Sure, you don`t make as much money as you wanted but why turn down a sure thing — no risk and guaranteed profit. There is no vigorish to pay on a plus moneyline loss.
When in doubt, wait for the game to start and get a better feel and watch odds changing during the live betting posts that update frequently. It is a fast paced process with changing numbers after an interception, fumble or big play. Be ready to place your live bet when you get your number. Remember, this is an optional tool to use if you want the excess action. If you are confident with your game bet, sit back and root home a winner.
Betting the NFL live option can be a little more stimulating than a straight bet before the game starts. You usually sit through the agony or the joy of watching your team perform. You have no options unless you use the live betting format available — very limited at most sportsbooks. Half-time betting is OK but those numbers are usually pretty sharp and expensive.
How to bet on the NFL is a selective choice and live betting allows you to limit your losses if your game choice is not going your way. You can bail out of your position and cut your expected losses by 50% or more. When you bet a game on the under and a special teams quick touchdown gives you ulcers, wait for a decent live number and go over even if the scoring stops. Your under bet is too risky to wait on. Get out while you can without much damage. Move on to another game day and limit your bad decisions. It happens to all of us. Learning to use online live betting is your best option for profits.