NBA Over Total Bet Unleashed
A good way to bet the over on NBA games starts with each teams scoring potential and their 3-point shooters. If they play below average defense but can put up points, the over bet comes into play. Certain teams in the NBA are known for scoring, shooting more 3-pointers and drawing the fouls.
Season scoring averages are a good handicapping tool, but following a team’s current form will give you an edge when the right teams are playing each other. Even the worst teams will play through cycles where their scoring average is above their norm while playing much better on the defensive end. Betting trends come and go as the season grinds on, but watching a team’s current playing form is a value edge that can lead to a winning streak on the total line that last several games.
When the over bet is listed at a very high 225 points it is expecting a high scoring game between two offensive teams. However, the book can only go so high and their number is capped with no where to go. It is a dead end number that is static and weak. Consider the game last week with the Lakers playing at the Warriors. The Lakers surprised the Warriors the previous week with a lopsided victory in LA. Of course payback is a bitch and the Warriors beat the Lakers 149 to 106. Here the over total was 225 and final was 255 allowed.
S Curry of the high scoring GS Warriors
The NBA betting season has started with some large scoring numbers that seem to be way above the normal points. I do not remember seeing a team score 149 points in a regular season game. It usually happens in the NBA all-star game where the over and under bet is 270 plus.
The Cavs scored 135 points in a previous game. A Lakers/Nets game was 125 to 118. These games are going way over the listed total and give the books a headache when bettors cash in on these high scoring games. Betting the over 225 is not a problem with certain teams setting new records for 3-point shooting.
There are some statistics that reveal better information than the standard averages of points per games and points allowed. The offensive efficiency and defensive efficiency measures how many points a team scores or allows (defense) per 100 possessions. These stats show a team’s overall pace and dictates how many possessions a team averages per game. A team’s offensive efficiency and style of play can be a good indicator of how many points it may score against their opponent’s defensive efficiency. Trying to nail down these predictors to an exact science or close enough is the ultimate insiders guide to NBA riches.
