NFL Playoff Betting Strategy
The NFL playoffs are soon to take shape with the six team seeding in each conference. So getting ready for your NFL playoff bets is something you should be doing now. You can wait until the last minute, but start looking at who is likely to make the playoffs now with two weeks left in the regular season. Watch how the teams that are likely to play each other in the playoffs fare against each other in their last match-up of the regular season.
Betting NFL Playoffs
Formulate the best plan for predicting playoff wins. The NFL playoffs have a tendency to be both exciting and predictable because of playoff experience and home field record. You know that the Patriots usually win at home during the playoffs. It is a big advantage for them and the first round bye. The bookie number will reflect this —- maybe too much. Look for that inflated line and determine which wild card team will make a run deep into the playoffs. It usually happens every year — a nice wild card underdog that wins outright or covers the line easily.
Easy Wins in your NFL Playoff Betting Strategy
The simple truth is that when the playoffs begin, the bookies will post very good lines on the board. There will be a soft line or upset potential usually by the road team being given too little credit and the favorite team getting too much action. Which favorite will be a couple points higher than they should be because of the betting public. Set your outline for the last two regular season games and plot out your map of where the playoff teams are headed and possible results.
Wild card round starts Saturday Jan. 7, 2017
Early season results are different from the end of the year just before the playoffs. Some things to consider in your NFL playoff betting strategy:
Which team scores the most points per game and what team allows the most points per game? Overall averages can be adjusted up or down depending on a teams performance in December and their playoff match-up.
Home Field Advantage with your NFL Playoff Bets
When a team is playing at home. How much is home field worth? Books usually give home field a three point advantage if those teams are very successful on their home field. However, a point spread of less than three points is an indication of a close game. An example would be if the Patriots are only a 2.5 point favorite at home, the books are telling you something. Home team dogs in the playoffs are rare due to seeding where better records get home field in first and second round.
Momentum and your NFL Playoff Bets
Which team has the momentum playing winning ball trying to get to playoffs. The last game of the regular season can determine a playoff berth as wild card or even a division winner. This post season berth creates momentum and confidence for their best performance at the right time. It is the “carrier over effect” that can continue in the playoffs. Watch for that wild card team getting points in the second round with upset capability.
Offensive Stats and your NFL Playoff Bets
What team has the best overall offensive stats in rushing and passing since points and yards are hard to produce in the playoffs. Defenses play much better in the playoffs than during the regular season. Your offense will need those few big plays to win a close game. Offensive performance by the O-line and the top players is critical to success.
Special Teams and your NFL Playoff Bets
A most overlooked strategy is the role of special teams and how effective a punter is at punting depth and direction to gain field position. There will probably be a lot of three and out possessions and the punter needs to be highly effective.
A coach and his staff have to consider all angles. So does the bettor. Having a betting strategy and likely scenario laid out ahead of time is the playoff challenge. Best of luck.
